Kashiwa Reysol crestKashiwa ReysolvsShonan Bellmare crestShonan Bellmare

Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 Shonan Bellmare — Result, H2H & Form

J1 League 2026Sun, 10 Aug 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Kashiwa Reysol73%

  • Kashiwa Reysol 73%
  • Draw 18%
  • Shonan Bellmare 9%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Kashiwa Reysol, rating it at 72.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Kashiwa Reysol won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 72.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Kashiwa Reysol's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Shonan Bellmare's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 17.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Kashiwa Reysol: WWWWW

Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-08-10Kashiwa Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare2–0
2025-04-20Shonan Bellmare vs Kashiwa Reysol0–1

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FAQ

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare?
Tofiko's model favours Kashiwa Reysol (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Kashiwa Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare kick off?
Sun, 10 Aug 2025 10:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
What is the Kashiwa Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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