Kyoto Sanga FC crestKyoto Sanga FCvsKashiwa Reysol crestKashiwa Reysol

Kyoto Sanga FC 2-3 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, H2H & Form

J1 LeagueFri, 11 Sep 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Kyoto Sanga FC41%

  • Kyoto Sanga FC 41%
  • Draw 25%
  • Kashiwa Reysol 35%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Kyoto Sanga FC, rating it at 40.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and Kyoto Sanga FC won 1 of 5, with 2 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

Kyoto Sanga FC: LLDWW

Kashiwa Reysol: WLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 5Games
  • 4.40Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-11Kyoto Sanga FC vs Kashiwa Reysol2–3
2026-06-06Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga FC0–1
2026-05-30Kyoto Sanga FC vs Kashiwa Reysol2–6
2025-06-21Kashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga FC3–3
2025-04-02Kyoto Sanga FC vs Kashiwa Reysol1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Kyoto Sanga FC vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Tofiko's model favours Kyoto Sanga FC (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Kyoto Sanga FC vs Kashiwa Reysol kick off?
Fri, 11 Sep 2026 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
What is the Kyoto Sanga FC vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.40 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureKashiwa Reysol vs Kyoto Sanga10 Mar 2027 →