FC Machida Zelvia 2-4 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, H2H & Form
J1 LeagueSun, 20 Sep 2026 08:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Machida Zelvia53%
Tofiko53% / 24% / 22%
Market39% / 28% / 34%
- FC Machida Zelvia
- Draw
- Kashiwa Reysol
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Machida Zelvia, rating it at 53.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Machida Zelvia won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Kashiwa Reysol's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. FC Machida Zelvia's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- Kashiwa Reysol's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
FC Machida Zelvia: WDWLW
Kashiwa Reysol: WDWWL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | FC Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | FC Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Kashiwa Reysol vs FC Machida Zelvia | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-17 | FC Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Machida Zelvia (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 08:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the FC Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.