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FC Machida Zelvia crestFC Machida ZelviavsUrawa Red Diamonds crestUrawa Red Diamonds

FC Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds Prediction, H2H & Stats

J1 LeagueSun, 23 Aug 2026 10:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Machida Zelvia47%

FC Machida Zelvia 47%
Draw 27%
Urawa Red Diamonds 26%
  • FC Machida Zelvia 47%
  • Draw 27%
  • Urawa Red Diamonds 26%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Machida Zelvia, rating it at 46.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and FC Machida Zelvia won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Urawa Red Diamonds's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. FC Machida Zelvia's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Urawa Red Diamonds's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

FC Machida Zelvia: WWDDW

Urawa Red Diamonds: LDWLL

Head-to-head

  • 3Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-22FC Machida Zelvia(N) vs Urawa Red Diamonds1–0
2025-10-25Urawa Red Diamonds vs FC Machida Zelvia0–0
2025-04-13FC Machida Zelvia(N) vs Urawa Red Diamonds0–2

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FAQ

Who will win FC Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
Tofiko's model favours FC Machida Zelvia (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds kick off?
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 10:30 GMT — J1 League.
What is the FC Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Red Diamonds head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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