FC Machida Zelvia(N) crestFC Machida Zelvia(N)vsYokohama F. Marinos crestYokohama F. Marinos

FC Machida Zelvia(N) 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, H2H & Form

J1 LeagueSat, 12 Sep 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Machida Zelvia(N)54%

  • FC Machida Zelvia(N) 54%
  • Draw 23%
  • Yokohama F. Marinos 23%
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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Machida Zelvia(N), rating it at 54.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and FC Machida Zelvia(N) won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 14 Sep 2026.

FC Machida Zelvia(N): DWWDW

Yokohama F. Marinos: DWDLW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 1.75Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12FC Machida Zelvia(N) vs Yokohama F. Marinos1–1
2026-05-06FC Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos2–0
2025-08-23Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Machida Zelvia0–0
2025-05-31FC Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos0–3

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FAQ

Who will win FC Machida Zelvia(N) vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Tofiko's model favours FC Machida Zelvia(N) (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Machida Zelvia(N) vs Yokohama F. Marinos kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
What is the FC Machida Zelvia(N) vs Yokohama F. Marinos head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureYokohama F. Marinos vs Machida Zelvia20 Feb 2027 →