Nagoya Grampus crestNagoya GrampusvsFC Machida Zelvia crestFC Machida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus 1-3 FC Machida Zelvia — Result, H2H & Form

J1 LeagueSun, 06 Sep 2026 09:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Machida Zelvia46%

  • Nagoya Grampus 30%
  • Draw 25%
  • FC Machida Zelvia 46%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Machida Zelvia, rating it at 45.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and Nagoya Grampus won none of them. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 14 Sep 2026.

Nagoya Grampus: LLLWL

FC Machida Zelvia: DWWDW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Sep 2026.

  • 5Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-06Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia1–3
2026-06-06FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus0–0
2026-05-30Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia2–2
2025-11-30FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus3–1
2025-03-02Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia?
Tofiko's model favours FC Machida Zelvia (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia kick off?
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 09:00 GMT — J1 League.
What is the Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureMachida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus13 Mar 2027 →