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Nagoya Grampus crestNagoya GrampusvsFC Machida Zelvia crestFC Machida Zelvia

Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia Prediction, H2H & Stats

J1 LeagueSun, 06 Sep 2026 09:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Machida Zelvia44%

Nagoya Grampus 32%
Draw 24%
FC Machida Zelvia 44%
  • Nagoya Grampus 32%
  • Draw 24%
  • FC Machida Zelvia 44%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC Machida Zelvia, rating it at 44.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Nagoya Grampus won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Nagoya Grampus: LLDDL

FC Machida Zelvia: WWDDW

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-06-06FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus0–0
2026-05-30Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia2–2
2025-11-30FC Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus3–1
2025-03-02Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia?
Tofiko's model favours FC Machida Zelvia (44% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia kick off?
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 09:00 GMT — J1 League.
What is the Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

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