Nagoya Grampusvs
Shonan BellmareNagoya Grampus 3-1 Shonan Bellmare — Result, H2H & Form
J1 League 2026Sat, 20 Sep 2025 08:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nagoya Grampus54%
- Nagoya Grampus 54%
- Draw 22%
- Shonan Bellmare 23%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Nagoya Grampus, rating it at 54.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Nagoya Grampus won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Nagoya Grampus's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Shonan Bellmare's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Nagoya Grampus: WLWLL
Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare | 3–1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare?
- Tofiko's model favours Nagoya Grampus (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare kick off?
- Sat, 20 Sep 2025 08:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
- What is the Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.