Sanfrecce Hiroshimavs
Cerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction, H2H & Stats
J1 LeagueSat, 12 Sep 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sanfrecce Hiroshima54%
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54%
- Draw 23%
- Cerezo Osaka 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima, rating it at 54.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima: WWLWW
Cerezo Osaka: DWWDW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Cerezo Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?
- Tofiko's model favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.