Sanfrecce Hiroshima crestSanfrecce HiroshimavsShonan Bellmare crestShonan Bellmare

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Shonan Bellmare — Result, H2H & Form

J1 League 2026Sat, 06 Dec 2025 05:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sanfrecce Hiroshima67%

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima 67%
  • Draw 22%
  • Shonan Bellmare 12%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima, rating it at 66.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Shonan Bellmare's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: DWDWW

Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-12-06Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare2–1
2025-05-07Shonan Bellmare vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–1

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FAQ

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare?
Tofiko's model favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare kick off?
Sat, 06 Dec 2025 05:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
What is the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shonan Bellmare head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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