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Shimizu S-Pulse crestShimizu S-PulsevsFC Tokyo crestFC Tokyo

Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo Prediction, H2H & Stats

J1 LeagueWed, 02 Sep 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Tokyo41%

Shimizu S-Pulse 33%
Draw 25%
FC Tokyo 41%
  • Shimizu S-Pulse 33%
  • Draw 25%
  • FC Tokyo 41%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Tokyo, rating it at 41.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Shimizu S-Pulse won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Shimizu S-Pulse: DWWLD

FC Tokyo: LWLDL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-10-04Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo1–1
2025-04-29FC Tokyo vs Shimizu S-Pulse0–2

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FAQ

Who will win Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo?
Tofiko's model favours FC Tokyo (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo kick off?
Wed, 02 Sep 2026 10:00 GMT — J1 League.
What is the Shimizu S-Pulse vs FC Tokyo head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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