Shimizu S-Pulsevs
JEF United ChibaShimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Chiba Prediction, H2H & Form
J1 LeagueSat, 19 Sep 2026 09:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Shimizu S-Pulse43%
- Shimizu S-Pulse 43%
- Draw 25%
- JEF United Chiba 32%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Shimizu S-Pulse, rating it at 42.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. JEF United Chiba's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 1 of them and conceded in 4. Shimizu S-Pulse's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Shimizu S-Pulse: LDLLW
JEF United Chiba: LDLLL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Chiba?
- Tofiko's model favours Shimizu S-Pulse (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Chiba kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 09:30 GMT — J1 League.