Urawa Red Diamonds crestUrawa Red DiamondsvsShonan Bellmare crestShonan Bellmare

Urawa Red Diamonds 4-1 Shonan Bellmare — Result, H2H & Form

J1 League 2026Wed, 23 Jul 2025 10:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Urawa Red Diamonds61%

  • Urawa Red Diamonds 61%
  • Draw 22%
  • Shonan Bellmare 16%
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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

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Analysis

Both model families pick Urawa Red Diamonds, rating it at 61.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Urawa Red Diamonds won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Urawa Red Diamonds's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Shonan Bellmare's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Urawa Red Diamonds's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Urawa Red Diamonds: WWLLL

Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-07-23Urawa Red Diamonds vs Shonan Bellmare4–1
2025-02-26Shonan Bellmare vs Urawa Red Diamonds2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Urawa Red Diamonds vs Shonan Bellmare?
Tofiko's model favours Urawa Red Diamonds (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Urawa Red Diamonds vs Shonan Bellmare kick off?
Wed, 23 Jul 2025 10:30 GMT — J1 League 2026.
What is the Urawa Red Diamonds vs Shonan Bellmare head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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