Albirex Niigatavs
Kashima AntlersAlbirex Niigata 1-2 Kashima Antlers — Result, H2H & Form
J1 League 2026Sat, 23 Aug 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Kashima Antlers66%
- Albirex Niigata 15%
- Draw 20%
- Kashima Antlers 66%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Kashima Antlers, rating it at 65.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Albirex Niigata won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Kashima Antlers's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Albirex Niigata: WLWWL
Kashima Antlers: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-23 | Albirex Niigata vs Kashima Antlers | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-26 | Kashima Antlers vs Albirex Niigata | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Kashima Antlers?
- Tofiko's model favours Kashima Antlers (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Albirex Niigata vs Kashima Antlers kick off?
- Sat, 23 Aug 2025 10:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
- What is the Albirex Niigata vs Kashima Antlers head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.