Albirex Niigatavs
Kashiwa ReysolAlbirex Niigata 1-3 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, H2H & Form
J1 League 2026Sun, 30 Nov 2025 05:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Kashiwa Reysol66%
- Albirex Niigata 15%
- Draw 19%
- Kashiwa Reysol 66%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Kashiwa Reysol, rating it at 65.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Albirex Niigata won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Albirex Niigata: WLWWL
Kashiwa Reysol: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol | 1–3 |
| 2025-04-26 | Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol?
- Tofiko's model favours Kashiwa Reysol (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol kick off?
- Sun, 30 Nov 2025 05:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
- What is the Albirex Niigata vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.