Albirex Niigata crestAlbirex NiigatavsShimizu S-Pulse crestShimizu S-Pulse

Albirex Niigata 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, H2H & Form

J1 League 2026Sat, 13 Sep 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Shimizu S-Pulse43%

  • Albirex Niigata 33%
  • Draw 24%
  • Shimizu S-Pulse 43%
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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Shimizu S-Pulse, rating it at 43.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Albirex Niigata won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Albirex Niigata's last 5 produced 14 goals — 2.8 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Shimizu S-Pulse's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Albirex Niigata: WLWWL

Shimizu S-Pulse: LDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-09-13Albirex Niigata vs Shimizu S-Pulse0–1
2025-02-22Shimizu S-Pulse vs Albirex Niigata2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
Tofiko's model favours Shimizu S-Pulse (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Albirex Niigata vs Shimizu S-Pulse kick off?
Sat, 13 Sep 2025 10:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
What is the Albirex Niigata vs Shimizu S-Pulse head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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