Urawa Red Diamondsvs
Albirex NiigataUrawa Red Diamonds 1-0 Albirex Niigata — Result, H2H & Form
J1 League 2026Sun, 31 Aug 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Urawa Red Diamonds64%
- Urawa Red Diamonds 64%
- Draw 21%
- Albirex Niigata 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Urawa Red Diamonds, rating it at 63.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Urawa Red Diamonds won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Urawa Red Diamonds's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Albirex Niigata's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Urawa Red Diamonds's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Urawa Red Diamonds: WWLLL
Albirex Niigata: WLWWL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-31 | Urawa Red Diamonds vs Albirex Niigata | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Albirex Niigata vs Urawa Red Diamonds | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Urawa Red Diamonds vs Albirex Niigata?
- Tofiko's model favours Urawa Red Diamonds (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Urawa Red Diamonds vs Albirex Niigata kick off?
- Sun, 31 Aug 2025 10:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
- What is the Urawa Red Diamonds vs Albirex Niigata head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.