Albirex Niigata crestAlbirex NiigatavsYokohama F. Marinos crestYokohama F. Marinos

Albirex Niigata 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, H2H & Form

J1 League 2026Sun, 15 Jun 2025 05:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Yokohama F. Marinos49%

  • Albirex Niigata 28%
  • Draw 23%
  • Yokohama F. Marinos 49%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Yokohama F. Marinos, rating it at 49.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Albirex Niigata won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Albirex Niigata: WLWWL

Yokohama F. Marinos: LWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-06-15Albirex Niigata vs Yokohama F. Marinos1–0
2025-02-15Yokohama F. Marinos vs Albirex Niigata1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Albirex Niigata vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Tofiko's model favours Yokohama F. Marinos (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Albirex Niigata vs Yokohama F. Marinos kick off?
Sun, 15 Jun 2025 05:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
What is the Albirex Niigata vs Yokohama F. Marinos head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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