Shonan Bellmarevs
Cerezo OsakaShonan Bellmare 3-3 Cerezo Osaka — Result, H2H & Form
J1 League 2026Sat, 19 Jul 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cerezo Osaka50%
- Shonan Bellmare 29%
- Draw 21%
- Cerezo Osaka 50%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Cerezo Osaka, rating it at 50.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Shonan Bellmare won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW
Cerezo Osaka: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-19 | Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka | 3–3 |
| 2025-02-22 | Cerezo Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka?
- Tofiko's model favours Cerezo Osaka (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka kick off?
- Sat, 19 Jul 2025 10:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
- What is the Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.