Shonan Bellmarevs
FC TokyoShonan Bellmare 2-2 FC Tokyo — Result, H2H & Form
J1 League 2026Sat, 16 Aug 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Tokyo44%
- Shonan Bellmare 31%
- Draw 25%
- FC Tokyo 44%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Tokyo, rating it at 44.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Shonan Bellmare won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Tokyo's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Shonan Bellmare's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- FC Tokyo's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW
FC Tokyo: WWWDL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-16 | Shonan Bellmare vs FC Tokyo | 2–2 |
| 2025-03-08 | FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs FC Tokyo?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Tokyo (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Shonan Bellmare vs FC Tokyo kick off?
- Sat, 16 Aug 2025 10:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
- What is the Shonan Bellmare vs FC Tokyo head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.