Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, H2H & Form
J1 League 2026Tue, 23 Sep 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Kawasaki Frontale54%
- Shonan Bellmare 26%
- Draw 20%
- Kawasaki Frontale 54%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Kawasaki Frontale, rating it at 53.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Shonan Bellmare won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Kawasaki Frontale's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Shonan Bellmare's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 19.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW
Kawasaki Frontale: WWDDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-23 | Shonan Bellmare vs Kawasaki Frontale | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-02 | Kawasaki Frontale vs Shonan Bellmare | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Kawasaki Frontale?
- Tofiko's model favours Kawasaki Frontale (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Kawasaki Frontale kick off?
- Tue, 23 Sep 2025 10:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
- What is the Shonan Bellmare vs Kawasaki Frontale head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.