Shonan Bellmare crestShonan BellmarevsKawasaki Frontale crestKawasaki Frontale

Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, H2H & Form

J1 League 2026Tue, 23 Sep 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Kawasaki Frontale54%

  • Shonan Bellmare 26%
  • Draw 20%
  • Kawasaki Frontale 54%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Kawasaki Frontale, rating it at 53.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Shonan Bellmare won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Kawasaki Frontale's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Shonan Bellmare's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 19.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW

Kawasaki Frontale: WWDDD

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-09-23Shonan Bellmare vs Kawasaki Frontale1–2
2025-04-02Kawasaki Frontale vs Shonan Bellmare2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Tofiko's model favours Kawasaki Frontale (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Kawasaki Frontale kick off?
Tue, 23 Sep 2025 10:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
What is the Shonan Bellmare vs Kawasaki Frontale head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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