Shonan Bellmare crestShonan BellmarevsKyoto Sanga FC crestKyoto Sanga FC

Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Kyoto Sanga FC — Result, H2H & Form

J1 League 2026Sun, 19 Oct 2025 06:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Kyoto Sanga FC59%

  • Shonan Bellmare 21%
  • Draw 20%
  • Kyoto Sanga FC 59%
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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Kyoto Sanga FC, rating it at 59.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Shonan Bellmare won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Kyoto Sanga FC's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Shonan Bellmare's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 20.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW

Kyoto Sanga FC: WWLDL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-17Kyoto Sanga FC vs Shonan Bellmare1–4
2025-10-19Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga FC1–1
2025-04-12Kyoto Sanga FC vs Shonan Bellmare2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga FC?
Tofiko's model favours Kyoto Sanga FC (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga FC kick off?
Sun, 19 Oct 2025 06:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
What is the Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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