Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Kyoto Sanga FC — Result, H2H & Form
J1 League 2026Sun, 19 Oct 2025 06:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Kyoto Sanga FC59%
- Shonan Bellmare 21%
- Draw 20%
- Kyoto Sanga FC 59%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Kyoto Sanga FC, rating it at 59.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Shonan Bellmare won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Kyoto Sanga FC's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Shonan Bellmare's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW
Kyoto Sanga FC: WWLDL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Kyoto Sanga FC vs Shonan Bellmare | 1–4 |
| 2025-10-19 | Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Kyoto Sanga FC vs Shonan Bellmare | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Kyoto Sanga FC (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga FC kick off?
- Sun, 19 Oct 2025 06:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
- What is the Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.