Shonan Bellmare 1-2 FC Machida Zelvia — Result, H2H & Form
J1 League 2026Sat, 14 Jun 2025 08:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Machida Zelvia54%
- Shonan Bellmare 24%
- Draw 22%
- FC Machida Zelvia 54%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Machida Zelvia, rating it at 54.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Shonan Bellmare won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Machida Zelvia's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Shonan Bellmare's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW
FC Machida Zelvia: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-14 | Shonan Bellmare vs FC Machida Zelvia | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-25 | FC Machida Zelvia vs Shonan Bellmare | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs FC Machida Zelvia?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Machida Zelvia (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Shonan Bellmare vs FC Machida Zelvia kick off?
- Sat, 14 Jun 2025 08:30 GMT — J1 League 2026.
- What is the Shonan Bellmare vs FC Machida Zelvia head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.