Shonan Bellmare crestShonan BellmarevsFC Machida Zelvia crestFC Machida Zelvia

Shonan Bellmare 1-2 FC Machida Zelvia — Result, H2H & Form

J1 League 2026Sat, 14 Jun 2025 08:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Machida Zelvia54%

  • Shonan Bellmare 24%
  • Draw 22%
  • FC Machida Zelvia 54%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Machida Zelvia, rating it at 54.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Shonan Bellmare won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. FC Machida Zelvia's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Shonan Bellmare's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW

FC Machida Zelvia: DWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-06-14Shonan Bellmare vs FC Machida Zelvia1–2
2025-04-25FC Machida Zelvia vs Shonan Bellmare0–1

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FAQ

Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs FC Machida Zelvia?
Tofiko's model favours FC Machida Zelvia (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Shonan Bellmare vs FC Machida Zelvia kick off?
Sat, 14 Jun 2025 08:30 GMT — J1 League 2026.
What is the Shonan Bellmare vs FC Machida Zelvia head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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