Shonan Bellmare 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, H2H & Form
J1 League 2026Sun, 30 Nov 2025 05:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Shimizu S-Pulse40%
- Shonan Bellmare 35%
- Draw 24%
- Shimizu S-Pulse 40%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Shimizu S-Pulse, rating it at 40.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Shonan Bellmare won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW
Shimizu S-Pulse: LDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Shimizu S-Pulse vs Shonan Bellmare | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
- Tofiko's model favours Shimizu S-Pulse (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse kick off?
- Sun, 30 Nov 2025 05:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
- What is the Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.