Shonan Bellmare crestShonan BellmarevsShimizu S-Pulse crestShimizu S-Pulse

Shonan Bellmare 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, H2H & Form

J1 League 2026Sun, 30 Nov 2025 05:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Shimizu S-Pulse40%

  • Shonan Bellmare 35%
  • Draw 24%
  • Shimizu S-Pulse 40%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Shimizu S-Pulse, rating it at 40.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Shonan Bellmare won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW

Shimizu S-Pulse: LDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-11-30Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse1–0
2025-03-29Shimizu S-Pulse vs Shonan Bellmare3–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse?
Tofiko's model favours Shimizu S-Pulse (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse kick off?
Sun, 30 Nov 2025 05:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
What is the Shonan Bellmare vs Shimizu S-Pulse head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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