Shonan Bellmare crestShonan BellmarevsYokohama F. Marinos crestYokohama F. Marinos

Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, H2H & Form

J1 League 2026Sat, 28 Jun 2025 10:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Yokohama F. Marinos46%

  • Shonan Bellmare 30%
  • Draw 24%
  • Yokohama F. Marinos 46%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Yokohama F. Marinos, rating it at 46.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Shonan Bellmare won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Yokohama F. Marinos's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Shonan Bellmare's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Shonan Bellmare: DWDWW

Yokohama F. Marinos: LWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-06-28Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F. Marinos1–1
2025-03-01Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shonan Bellmare1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Tofiko's model favours Yokohama F. Marinos (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F. Marinos kick off?
Sat, 28 Jun 2025 10:00 GMT — J1 League 2026.
What is the Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F. Marinos head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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