Almeria crestAlmeriavsBarcelona crestBarcelona

Almeria 0-2 Barcelona — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2023-2024Thu, 16 May 2024 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Barcelona72%

Tofiko11% / 17% / 72%
Market16% / 19% / 65%
  • Almeria
  • Draw
  • Barcelona

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Barcelona, rating it at 72.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Almeria won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Barcelona's last 5 produced 30 goals — 6.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Almeria's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 6.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

Almeria: WWWLL

Barcelona: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-05-16Almeria vs Barcelona0–2
2023-12-20Barcelona vs Almeria3–2
2023-02-26Almeria vs Barcelona1–0
2022-11-05Barcelona vs Almeria2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Almeria vs Barcelona?
Tofiko's model favours Barcelona (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Almeria vs Barcelona kick off?
Thu, 16 May 2024 19:30 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
What is the Almeria vs Barcelona head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBarcelona 3-2 Almeria20 Dec 2023 →