Barcelonavs
AlmeriaBarcelona 3-2 Almeria — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2023-2024Wed, 20 Dec 2023 18:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Barcelona81%
- Barcelona
- Draw
- Almeria
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Barcelona, rating it at 81.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Barcelona won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Barcelona's last 5 produced 30 goals — 6.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Almeria's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 6.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026.
Barcelona: WWWWW
Almeria: WWWLL
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-16 | Almeria vs Barcelona | 0–2 |
| 2023-12-20 | Barcelona vs Almeria | 3–2 |
| 2023-02-26 | Almeria vs Barcelona | 1–0 |
| 2022-11-05 | Barcelona vs Almeria | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Barcelona vs Almeria?
- Tofiko's model favours Barcelona (81% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Barcelona vs Almeria kick off?
- Wed, 20 Dec 2023 18:00 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
- What is the Barcelona vs Almeria head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.