Almeria crestAlmeriavsReal Madrid crestReal Madrid

Almeria 1-3 Real Madrid — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2023-2024Sat, 19 Aug 2023 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Madrid72%

Tofiko11% / 17% / 72%
Market12% / 19% / 70%
  • Almeria
  • Draw
  • Real Madrid

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid, rating it at 71.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Almeria won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 25 Sep 2026.

Almeria: WWWLL

Real Madrid: LWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 25 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-01-21Real Madrid vs Almeria3–2
2023-08-19Almeria vs Real Madrid1–3
2023-04-29Real Madrid vs Almeria4–2
2022-08-14Almeria vs Real Madrid1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Almeria vs Real Madrid?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Almeria vs Real Madrid kick off?
Sat, 19 Aug 2023 17:30 GMT — La Liga 2023-2024.
What is the Almeria vs Real Madrid head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legReal Madrid 3-2 Almeria21 Jan 2024 →