Elche CF crestElche CFvsAtletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid

Elche CF vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atletico Madrid58%

  • Elche CF 18%
  • Draw 24%
  • Atletico Madrid 58%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 58.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Elche CF won 1 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 89 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Elche CF: LLDWD

Atletico Madrid: WDWWL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 89 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 8Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 38%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-22Elche CF vs Atletico Madrid3–2
2025-08-23Atletico Madrid vs Elche CF1–1
2023-05-14Elche vs Atletico Madrid1–0
2022-12-29Atletico Madrid vs Elche2–0
2022-05-11Elche vs Atletico Madrid0–2
2021-08-22Atletico Madrid vs Elche1–0
2021-05-01Elche vs Atletico Madrid0–1
2020-12-19Atletico Madrid vs Elche3–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Elche CF vs Atletico Madrid?
Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Elche CF vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
Sun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Elche CF vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

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