Elche CFvs
Atletico MadridElche CF vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 29 Nov 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atletico Madrid58%
- Elche CF 18%
- Draw 24%
- Atletico Madrid 58%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 58.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Elche CF won 1 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Elche CF: DDDWD
Atletico Madrid: LWLWW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Elche CF vs Atletico Madrid | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Atletico Madrid vs Elche CF | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-14 | Elche vs Atletico Madrid | 1–0 |
| 2022-12-29 | Atletico Madrid vs Elche | 2–0 |
| 2022-05-11 | Elche vs Atletico Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2021-08-22 | Atletico Madrid vs Elche | 1–0 |
| 2021-05-01 | Elche vs Atletico Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2020-12-19 | Atletico Madrid vs Elche | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Elche CF vs Atletico Madrid?
- Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Elche CF vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Elche CF vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.