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Malaga CF crestMalaga CFvsAthletic Bilbao crestAthletic Bilbao

Malaga CF vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 29 Nov 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Malaga CF39%

Malaga CF 39%
Draw 31%
Athletic Bilbao 31%
  • Malaga CF 39%
  • Draw 31%
  • Athletic Bilbao 31%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Malaga CF, rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

They arrive from very different football. Athletic Bilbao's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Malaga CF's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Athletic Bilbao's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Malaga CF: DDWDD

Athletic Bilbao: WWDWW

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Malaga CF vs Athletic Bilbao?
Tofiko's model favours Malaga CF (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Malaga CF vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
Sun, 29 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.

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