Malaga CF vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 29 Nov 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Malaga CF39%
- Malaga CF 39%
- Draw 31%
- Athletic Bilbao 31%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Malaga CF, rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. Athletic Bilbao's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Malaga CF's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Athletic Bilbao's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Malaga CF: DDWDD
Athletic Bilbao: WWDWW
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Malaga CF vs Athletic Bilbao?
- Tofiko's model favours Malaga CF (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Malaga CF vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.