Real Madrid CF crestReal Madrid CFvsDeportivo Alaves crestDeportivo Alaves

Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Real Madrid CF to win75%

1X2: model backs Real Madrid CF at 75%.

Tofiko75% / 17% / 8%
  • Real Madrid CF
  • Draw
  • Deportivo Alaves

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Remind me before kick-off

Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.

More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Real Madrid CF or draw92%
  • Draw or Deportivo Alaves25%
  • Real Madrid CF or Deportivo Alaves83%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.558%
  • Under 2.542%

Both teams to score

  • Real Madrid CF, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Deportivo Alaves, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 75.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 4 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Real Madrid CF: WLWWW

Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.40Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-21Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves2–1
2025-12-14Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid CF1–2
2025-04-13Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid CF0–1
2024-09-24Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves3–2
2024-05-14Real Madrid vs Alaves5–0
2023-12-21Alaves vs Real Madrid0–1
2022-02-19Real Madrid vs Alaves3–0
2021-08-14Alaves vs Real Madrid1–4
2021-01-23Alaves vs Real Madrid1–4
2020-11-28Real Madrid vs Alaves1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
Sun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureAlaves vs Real Madrid23 May 2027 →