Real Madrid CFvs
Deportivo AlavesReal Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 29 Nov 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF75%
- Real Madrid CF 75%
- Draw 17%
- Deportivo Alaves 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 75.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 4 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Real Madrid CF's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 17.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Madrid CF: DWWWW
Deportivo Alaves: WWDLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves | 2–1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid CF | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-13 | Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid CF | 0–1 |
| 2024-09-24 | Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves | 3–2 |
| 2024-05-14 | Real Madrid vs Alaves | 5–0 |
| 2023-12-21 | Alaves vs Real Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2022-02-19 | Real Madrid vs Alaves | 3–0 |
| 2021-08-14 | Alaves vs Real Madrid | 1–4 |
| 2021-01-23 | Alaves vs Real Madrid | 1–4 |
| 2020-11-28 | Real Madrid vs Alaves | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.