Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Real Madrid CF to win75%
1X2: model backs Real Madrid CF at 75%.
- Real Madrid CF
- Draw
- Deportivo Alaves
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Real Madrid CF or draw92%
- Draw or Deportivo Alaves25%
- Real Madrid CF or Deportivo Alaves83%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.558%
- Under 2.542%
Both teams to score
- Real Madrid CF, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Deportivo Alaves, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 75.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 4 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Real Madrid CF: WLWWW
Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves | 2–1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid CF | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-13 | Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid CF | 0–1 |
| 2024-09-24 | Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves | 3–2 |
| 2024-05-14 | Real Madrid vs Alaves | 5–0 |
| 2023-12-21 | Alaves vs Real Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2022-02-19 | Real Madrid vs Alaves | 3–0 |
| 2021-08-14 | Alaves vs Real Madrid | 1–4 |
| 2021-01-23 | Alaves vs Real Madrid | 1–4 |
| 2020-11-28 | Real Madrid vs Alaves | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.