Racing de Santandervs
UD AlmeriaRacing de Santander vs UD Almeria Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 12 Apr 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Racing de Santander 5–1 UD Almeria
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Racing de Santander52%
- Racing de Santander 52%
- Draw 19%
- UD Almeria 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Racing de Santander, rating it at 51.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Racing de Santander won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Racing de Santander's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 5. UD Almeria's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 19.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Racing de Santander: LLLDW
UD Almeria: LLWLD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 5.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Racing de Santander vs UD Almeria | 5–1 |
| 2025-09-07 | UD Almeria vs Racing de Santander | 2–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Racing de Santander vs UD Almeria?
- Tofiko's model favours Racing de Santander (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Racing de Santander vs UD Almeria kick off?
- Sun, 12 Apr 2026 19:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the Racing de Santander vs UD Almeria head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.