UD Almeria crestUD AlmeriavsRacing de Santander crestRacing de Santander

UD Almeria 2-3 Racing de Santander — Result, H2H & Form

Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 07 Sep 2025 16:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs UD Almeria48%

Tofiko48% / 19% / 33%
Market54% / 23% / 23%
  • UD Almeria
  • Draw
  • Racing de Santander

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 47.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and UD Almeria won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Racing de Santander's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. UD Almeria's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Racing de Santander's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

UD Almeria: WWWLL

Racing de Santander: LLWLW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 5.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-12Racing de Santander vs UD Almeria5–1
2025-09-07UD Almeria vs Racing de Santander2–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win UD Almeria vs Racing de Santander?
Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does UD Almeria vs Racing de Santander kick off?
Sun, 07 Sep 2025 16:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the UD Almeria vs Racing de Santander head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legRacing Santander 5-1 Almeria12 Apr 2026 →