UD Almeria 2-3 Racing de Santander — Result, H2H & Form
Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 07 Sep 2025 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Almeria48%
- UD Almeria
- Draw
- Racing de Santander
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 47.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and UD Almeria won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Racing de Santander's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. UD Almeria's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Racing de Santander's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
UD Almeria: WWWLL
Racing de Santander: LLWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 5.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Racing de Santander vs UD Almeria | 5–1 |
| 2025-09-07 | UD Almeria vs Racing de Santander | 2–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win UD Almeria vs Racing de Santander?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Almeria vs Racing de Santander kick off?
- Sun, 07 Sep 2025 16:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the UD Almeria vs Racing de Santander head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.