Rayo Vallecanovs
Real SociedadRayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 11 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano36%
- Rayo Vallecano
- Draw
- Real Sociedad
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Rayo Vallecano or draw71%
- Draw or Real Sociedad64%
- Rayo Vallecano or Real Sociedad65%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.535%
- Under 2.565%
Both teams to score
- Rayo Vallecano, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Real Sociedad, last 10 away games9 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 36.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 2 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 180 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rayo Vallecano: DDWLW
Real Sociedad: WLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 180 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 3–3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-18 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–2 |
| 2024-01-27 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 2–2 |
| 2023-04-22 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-21 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 0–2 |
| 2022-05-01 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad | 1–1 |
| 2021-08-22 | Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad kick off?
- Sun, 11 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.