Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsReal Sociedad crestReal Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 11 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rayo Vallecano36%

Tofiko36% / 35% / 29%
  • Rayo Vallecano
  • Draw
  • Real Sociedad

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 36.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 2 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 202 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL

Real Sociedad: WLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 202 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-26Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad3–3
2025-10-05Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano0–1
2025-03-16Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad2–2
2024-08-18Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano1–2
2024-01-27Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano0–0
2023-10-29Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad2–2
2023-04-22Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2023-01-21Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad0–2
2022-05-01Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad1–1
2021-08-22Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad?
Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad kick off?
Sun, 11 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureReal Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano8 Nov 2026 →