Aston Villa F.C.vs
Leicester City F.C.Aston Villa F.C. 2-1 Leicester City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sat, 04 Jan 2025 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aston Villa F.C.61%
- Aston Villa F.C. 61%
- Draw 22%
- Leicester City F.C. 18%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 60.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 2 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Aston Villa F.C.: LLLLL
Leicester City F.C.: WDLLD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-04 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-08-31 | Leicester City F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2023-04-04 | Leicester City vs Aston Villa | 1–2 |
| 2023-02-04 | Aston Villa vs Leicester City | 2–4 |
| 2022-04-23 | Leicester City vs Aston Villa | 0–0 |
| 2021-12-05 | Aston Villa vs Leicester City | 2–1 |
| 2021-02-21 | Aston Villa vs Leicester City | 1–2 |
| 2020-10-18 | Leicester City vs Aston Villa | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 04 Jan 2025 15:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.