AFC Bournemouthvs
Leicester City F.C.AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Leicester City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Sun, 25 May 2025 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AFC Bournemouth54%
- AFC Bournemouth 54%
- Draw 22%
- Leicester City F.C. 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 54.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and AFC Bournemouth won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AFC Bournemouth's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Leicester City F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AFC Bournemouth's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
AFC Bournemouth: DLLDW
Leicester City F.C.: WDLLD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-25 | AFC Bournemouth vs Leicester City F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Leicester City F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–0 |
| 2023-04-08 | Leicester City vs AFC Bournemouth | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-08 | AFC Bournemouth vs Leicester City | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Leicester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Leicester City F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 25 May 2025 15:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Leicester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.