Leicester City crestLeicester CityvsBurnley crestBurnley

Leicester City 2-2 Burnley — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2021-2022Sat, 25 Sep 2021 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Leicester City54%

Tofiko54% / 22% / 24%
Market65% / 21% / 14%
  • Leicester City
  • Draw
  • Burnley

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Leicester City, rating it at 53.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Leicester City won 2 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Leicester City's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Burnley's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Leicester City's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 26 Sep 2026.

Leicester City: WDWLW

Burnley: DLDLD

Head-to-head

As of 26 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-03-01Burnley vs Leicester City0–2
2021-09-25Leicester City vs Burnley2–2
2021-03-03Burnley vs Leicester City1–1
2020-09-20Leicester City vs Burnley4–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Leicester City vs Burnley?
Tofiko's model favours Leicester City (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Leicester City vs Burnley kick off?
Sat, 25 Sep 2021 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2021-2022.
What is the Leicester City vs Burnley head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBurnley 0-2 Leicester1 Mar 2022 →