Leicester City F.C.vs
Newcastle United F.C.Leicester City F.C. 0-3 Newcastle United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2024-2025Mon, 07 Apr 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle United F.C.46%
- Leicester City F.C. 32%
- Draw 22%
- Newcastle United F.C. 46%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 45.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Leicester City F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Leicester City F.C.: WDLLD
Newcastle United F.C.: WWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 88%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-07 | Leicester City F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2024-12-14 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. | 4–0 |
| 2023-05-22 | Newcastle vs Leicester City | 0–0 |
| 2022-12-26 | Leicester City vs Newcastle | 0–3 |
| 2022-04-17 | Newcastle vs Leicester City | 2–1 |
| 2021-12-12 | Leicester City vs Newcastle | 4–0 |
| 2021-05-07 | Leicester City vs Newcastle | 2–4 |
| 2021-01-03 | Newcastle vs Leicester City | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Leicester City F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Leicester City F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
- Mon, 07 Apr 2025 19:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
- What is the Leicester City F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.