Leicester City F.C. crestLeicester City F.C.vsSwansea City A.F.C. crestSwansea City A.F.C.

Leicester City F.C. 0-1 Swansea City A.F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL ChampionshipSat, 11 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Leicester City F.C.41%

  • Leicester City F.C. 41%
  • Draw 24%
  • Swansea City A.F.C. 36%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Leicester City F.C., rating it at 40.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Leicester City F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Leicester City F.C.: DLLDW

Swansea City A.F.C.: WDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-11Leicester City F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.0–1
2025-10-04Swansea City A.F.C. vs Leicester City F.C.1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Leicester City F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Leicester City F.C. (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Leicester City F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. kick off?
Sat, 11 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
What is the Leicester City F.C. vs Swansea City A.F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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