Leicester City F.C.vs
Watford F.C.Leicester City F.C. 1-2 Watford F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL ChampionshipFri, 26 Dec 2025 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Leicester City F.C.40%
Tofiko40% / 24% / 36%
Market44% / 27% / 29%
- Leicester City F.C.
- Draw
- Watford F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Leicester City F.C., rating it at 40.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Leicester City F.C. won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Leicester City F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026.
Leicester City F.C.: LLWD
Watford F.C.: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Watford F.C. vs Leicester City F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Leicester City F.C. vs Watford F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2022-05-15 | Watford vs Leicester City | 1–5 |
| 2021-11-28 | Leicester City vs Watford | 4–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Leicester City F.C. vs Watford F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Leicester City F.C. (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Leicester City F.C. vs Watford F.C. kick off?
- Fri, 26 Dec 2025 15:00 GMT — EFL Championship.
- What is the Leicester City F.C. vs Watford F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.