Luton Townvs
BrentfordLuton Town 1-5 Brentford — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier League 2023-2024Sat, 20 Apr 2024 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Brentford52%
- Luton Town 28%
- Draw 21%
- Brentford 52%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Brentford, rating it at 51.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Luton Town won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Brentford's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Luton Town: LLDWW
Brentford: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-20 | Luton Town vs Brentford | 1–5 |
| 2023-12-02 | Brentford vs Luton Town | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Luton Town vs Brentford?
- Tofiko's model favours Brentford (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Luton Town vs Brentford kick off?
- Sat, 20 Apr 2024 14:00 GMT — English Premier League 2023-2024.
- What is the Luton Town vs Brentford head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.