Luton Town crestLuton TownvsBurnley crestBurnley

Luton Town 1-2 Burnley — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2023-2024Tue, 03 Oct 2023 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Luton Town49%

Tofiko49% / 22% / 29%
Market33% / 28% / 39%
  • Luton Town
  • Draw
  • Burnley

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Luton Town, rating it at 48.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Luton Town won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 25 Sep 2026.

Luton Town: WLLDW

Burnley: DLDLD

Head-to-head

As of 25 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-01-12Burnley vs Luton Town1–1
2023-10-03Luton Town vs Burnley1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Luton Town vs Burnley?
Tofiko's model favours Luton Town (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Luton Town vs Burnley kick off?
Tue, 03 Oct 2023 18:30 GMT — English Premier League 2023-2024.
What is the Luton Town vs Burnley head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBurnley 1-1 Luton12 Jan 2024 →