Luton Town crestLuton TownvsNewcastle crestNewcastle

Luton Town 1-0 Newcastle — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2023-2024Sat, 23 Dec 2023 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Newcastle53%

Tofiko27% / 20% / 53%
Market16% / 21% / 63%
  • Luton Town
  • Draw
  • Newcastle

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Newcastle, rating it at 53.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Luton Town won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 25 Sep 2026.

Luton Town: WLLDW

Newcastle: WLWDW

Head-to-head

As of 25 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-02-03Newcastle vs Luton Town4–4
2023-12-23Luton Town vs Newcastle1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Luton Town vs Newcastle?
Tofiko's model favours Newcastle (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Luton Town vs Newcastle kick off?
Sat, 23 Dec 2023 15:00 GMT — English Premier League 2023-2024.
What is the Luton Town vs Newcastle head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legNewcastle 4-4 Luton3 Feb 2024 →