Milton Keynes Donsvs
Newport County A.F.C.Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 Newport County A.F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League Two 2025-2026Sat, 14 Feb 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Milton Keynes Dons75%
- Milton Keynes Dons 75%
- Draw 16%
- Newport County A.F.C. 9%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Milton Keynes Dons, rating it at 74.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Milton Keynes Dons won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 74.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 16.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Newport County A.F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Milton Keynes Dons: DDDLW
Newport County A.F.C.: LDLWD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Milton Keynes Dons vs Newport County A.F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Newport County A.F.C. vs Milton Keynes Dons | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Newport County A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Milton Keynes Dons (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Milton Keynes Dons vs Newport County A.F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 14 Feb 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
- What is the Milton Keynes Dons vs Newport County A.F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.