Newport County A.F.C. crestNewport County A.F.C.vsYork City F.C. crestYork City F.C.

Newport County A.F.C. vs York City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL League TwoSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs York City F.C.49%

Tofiko29% / 22% / 49%
Market25% / 25% / 50%
  • Newport County A.F.C.
  • Draw
  • York City F.C.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Newport County A.F.C. or draw51%
  • Draw or York City F.C.71%
  • Newport County A.F.C. or York City F.C.78%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.557%
  • Under 2.543%

Both teams to score

  • Newport County A.F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
  • York City F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (529 games)52%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks York City F.C., rating it at 49.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026.

Newport County A.F.C.: WDDWW

York City F.C.: DWDLL

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Newport County A.F.C. vs York City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours York City F.C. (49% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Newport County A.F.C. vs York City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureYork vs Newport County16 Jan 2027 →