Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Rochdale A.F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL League TwoSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Crewe Alexandra F.C.46%
Tofiko46% / 25% / 28%
Market51% / 25% / 23%
- Crewe Alexandra F.C.
- Draw
- Rochdale A.F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Crewe Alexandra F.C. or draw72%
- Draw or Rochdale A.F.C.54%
- Crewe Alexandra F.C. or Rochdale A.F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.543%
- Under 2.557%
Both teams to score
- Crewe Alexandra F.C., last 10 home games8 of 10
- Rochdale A.F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (529 games)52%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Crewe Alexandra F.C., rating it at 46.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Crewe Alexandra F.C.: WDWDW
Rochdale A.F.C.: DLWWD
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Rochdale A.F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Crewe Alexandra F.C. (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Crewe Alexandra F.C. vs Rochdale A.F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.