Port Vale F.C.vs
Chesterfield F.C.Port Vale F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL League TwoSat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chesterfield F.C.39%
- Port Vale F.C.
- Draw
- Chesterfield F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Port Vale F.C. or draw61%
- Draw or Chesterfield F.C.66%
- Port Vale F.C. or Chesterfield F.C.73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.535%
- Under 2.565%
Both teams to score
- Port Vale F.C., last 10 home games2 of 10
- Chesterfield F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (529 games)52%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chesterfield F.C., rating it at 39.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Port Vale F.C. did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Chesterfield F.C.'s last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Port Vale F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Port Vale F.C.: WWDLW
Chesterfield F.C.: DWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Chesterfield F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Port Vale F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chesterfield F.C. (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Port Vale F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Port Vale F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.