Notts County F.C. crestNotts County F.C.vsBarrow A.F.C. crestBarrow A.F.C.

Notts County F.C. 2-1 Barrow A.F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League Two 2025-2026Sat, 07 Feb 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Notts County F.C.69%

  • Notts County F.C. 69%
  • Draw 19%
  • Barrow A.F.C. 12%
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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Notts County F.C., rating it at 69.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Notts County F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 69.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 18.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Notts County F.C.: DWDDD

Barrow A.F.C.: DLDLL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-07Notts County F.C. vs Barrow A.F.C.2–1
2025-08-16Barrow A.F.C. vs Notts County F.C.2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Notts County F.C. vs Barrow A.F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Notts County F.C. (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Notts County F.C. vs Barrow A.F.C. kick off?
Sat, 07 Feb 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
What is the Notts County F.C. vs Barrow A.F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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