Notts County F.C.vs
Bristol Rovers F.C.Notts County F.C. 1-1 Bristol Rovers F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League Two 2025-2026Sat, 02 May 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Notts County F.C.58%
- Notts County F.C. 58%
- Draw 21%
- Bristol Rovers F.C. 21%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Notts County F.C., rating it at 58.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Notts County F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Bristol Rovers F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Notts County F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Bristol Rovers F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Notts County F.C.: WDDDD
Bristol Rovers F.C.: WDWLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Notts County F.C. vs Bristol Rovers F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Bristol Rovers F.C. vs Notts County F.C. | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Notts County F.C. vs Bristol Rovers F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Notts County F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Notts County F.C. vs Bristol Rovers F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 02 May 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
- What is the Notts County F.C. vs Bristol Rovers F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.