Notts County F.C.vs
Cheltenham Town F.C.Notts County F.C. 5-2 Cheltenham Town F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League Two 2025-2026Sat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Notts County F.C.63%
- Notts County F.C. 63%
- Draw 19%
- Cheltenham Town F.C. 17%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Notts County F.C., rating it at 63.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Notts County F.C. won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Notts County F.C.: WDDDD
Cheltenham Town F.C.: DLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Notts County F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C. | 5–2 |
| 2025-11-10 | Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Notts County F.C. | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Notts County F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Notts County F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Notts County F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Mar 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
- What is the Notts County F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.