Notts County F.C.vs
Chesterfield F.C.Notts County F.C. 2-3 Chesterfield F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League Two 2025-2026Sat, 14 Mar 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Notts County F.C.51%
- Notts County F.C. 51%
- Draw 22%
- Chesterfield F.C. 27%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Notts County F.C., rating it at 50.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Notts County F.C. won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Notts County F.C.: WDDDD
Chesterfield F.C.: LWLLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Notts County F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Chesterfield F.C. vs Notts County F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Notts County F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-12-26 | Chesterfield F.C. vs Notts County F.C. | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Notts County F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Notts County F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Notts County F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 14 Mar 2026 12:30 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
- What is the Notts County F.C. vs Chesterfield F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.